Canada sees staggering mildness as planet’s high-pressure record is “obliterated”.... baby, it ain't cold outside!

Submitted by Norm Roulet on Sun, 01/23/2011 - 14:59.

Temperature anomalies in North America, 12.10-1.11

Joe Romm reports extremely bad climate news on Climate Progress. Sit down, take a breath (drink... hit...), and read on.... baby, it ain't cold outside! Canada sees staggering mildness as planet’s high-pressure record is “obliterated” - Climate Progress - January 23, 2011

Surface temperature anomalies for the period 17 December 2010 to 15 January 2011 show impressive warmth across the Canadian Arctic….

The largest anomalies here exceed 21°C (37.8°F) above average, which are very large values to be sustained for an entire month.

The disinformers and many in the media love to focus on where it is cold in the winter.  It has been cool where many people live.  Brr!

Unfortunately for homo sapiens, it’s been staggeringly warm where the ice is.  I’ll do a post on Greenland shortly, but the NSF-sponsored researchers at UCAR/NCAR  have posted some staggering data on just how warm it has been in northern Canada:

To put this picture into even sharper focus, let’s take a look at Coral Harbour, located at the northwest corner of Hudson Bay in the province of Nunavut. On a typical mid-January day, the town drops to a low of –34°C (–29.2°F) and reaches a high of just -26°C (–14.8°F). Compare that to what Coral Harbour actually experienced in the first twelve days of January 2011, as reported by Environment Canada (see table at left).

  • After New Year’s Day, the town went 11 days without getting down to its average daily high.
  • On the 6th of the month, the low temperature was –3.7°C (25.3°F). That’s a remarkable 30°C (54°F) above average.
  • On both the 5th and 6th, Coral Harbor inched above the freezing mark. Before this year, temperatures above 0°C (32°F) had never been recorded in the entire three months of January, February, and March.

The extremes have been just as impressive when you look high in the atmosphere above these areas. Typically the midpoint of the atmosphere’s mass—the 500-millibar (500 hPa) level—rests around 5 kilometers (3 miles) above sea level during the Arctic midwinter. In mid-December, a vast bubble of high pressure formed in the vicinity of Greenland. At the center of this high, the 500-mb surface rose to more than 5.8 kilometers, a sign of remarkably mild air below. Stu Ostro (The Weather Channel) found that this was the most extreme 500-mb anomaly anywhere on the planet in weather analyses dating back to 1948. Details are at the conclusion of Ostro’s year-end blog post.

Farther west, a separate monster high developed over Alaska last week. According to Richard Thoman (National Weather Service, Fairbanks), the 500-mb height over both Nome and Kotzebue rose to 582 decameters (5.82 km). That’s not only a January record: those are the highest values ever observed at those points outside of June, July, and August.

Previously I wrote about how Weather Channel expert Stu Ostro discussed Georgia’s record-smashing global-warming-type deluge:  “Nevertheless, there’s a straightforward connection in the way the changing climate “set the table” for what happened this September in Atlanta and elsewhere. It behooves us to understand not only theoretical expected increases in heavy precipitation (via relatively slow/linear changes in temperatures, evaporation, and atmospheric moisture) but also how changing circulation patterns are already squeezing out that moisture in extreme doses and affecting weather in other ways.”

In January, Ostro explained at great length in a long PPT, “A connection between global warming and synoptic meteorology,” which is a must-read for wonks.  In December, Stu Ostro explained:

HOLY 500 MILLIBAR HEIGHT ANOMALY, BATMAN!In recent years, I’ve documented many cases of strong ridges of high pressure aloft which have contributed to temperature and/or precipitation extremes, as those pressures aloft have risen in recent decades in tandem with the warming of the atmosphere.

Well, recently the atmosphere outdid itself. At the peak of the pattern which begat the wild weather in Europe and the U.S., the biggest departure from average pressure aloft in the database (which goes back to 1948) anywhere on the planet occurred over Greenland on December 15. Then the next day that record was smashed. And the previous record for December at this level, a few miles above the Earth’s surface, was completely obliterated.

This image is simply a copy and paste from a spreadsheet which ranked all of the departures in that database. (Technically they’re “positive 500 millibar height anomalies.”) But what it represents is significant.

[Data source: ESRL; NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 1]

The UCAR/NCAR analysis continues:

The year the sea forgot to freeze

Arctic sea ice extent, 12.21.10
Large areas of open water persisted across much of the area between Greenland and Canada on 21 December 2010. (Image courtesy Cryosphere Today.)

Why so freakishly mild?  One factor that both feeds and is fed by the warmth is the highly unusual amount of open water across seas that are normally frozen by late November. On the winter solstice (December 21), Hudson Bay was little more than half frozen (see map at right).

Similarly, a large swath of the Baffin/Newfoundland Sea fell weeks behind schedule in freezing up. As evident in the charts at bottom, these bodies of water remain in catch-up mode. Around the south part of Baffin Island, “the boats were still in the water during the first week of January,” says David Phillips, a senior climatologist with Environment Canada. “The Meteorological Service of Canada was still writing marine forecasts as of 7 January, well beyond anything we have ever done.”

Storm after storm sweeping up the East Coast in recent weeks has pumped warm Atlantic air across eastern Canada, helping postpone the freeze-up even further and allowing temperatures over land to soar far above average.

According to Philips, the implications for people in the far north have been widespread. Nunavut’s capital, Iqaluit, had to cancel its year-end snowmobile run on Frobisher Bay for the first time. “Last New Year’s Eve, the big story was ice breaking up,” says Phillips. “This year there was no ice to break up.” Worst of all, he adds, “it’s impossible for many people in parts of the eastern Arctic to safely get on the ice to hunt much-needed food for their families—for the second winter in a row. Never before have we seen weather impact a way of life in so many small and big ways.”

Now imagine how warm it is going to be in the Arctic when during these kinds of heat waves are compounded by several decades of global warming:

Graphic of chnage in temperature

How could the Greenland ice sheet possibly survive?

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O'Brien's "Forget Global Warming" made more sense in Canadian

Time to check in on O'Brien's "Forget Global Warming" made more sense in Canadian - wonder if any of these smart guys still think what they thought in 2008 - and wonder if any of them are smart enough to disclose the truth now?!?! Like who they are really working for...?!?! O'Brien?!?!

Kevin O'Brien's column "Forget Global Warming" made more sense in Canadian

Submitted by Norm Roulet on March 18, 2008 - 11:14pm.

On March 12, 2008, Cleveland Plain Dealer deputy editorial page director Kevin O'Brien published a snide, pointless editorial taking the position global warming is over-hyped. His conclusion is a Russian scientist predicts the world is entering a new Ice Age, which trumps Global Warming, so do nothing about Global Warming. I googled the Russian scientist O'Brien references - Oleg Sorokhtin - and came across a February 25th National Post column, by conservative Canadian columnist Lorne Gunter, to which O'Brien's March 12th column is so similar as to be plagiarism, in my book.

Gunter's column "Forget global warming: Welcome to the new Ice Age" was fairly well written to promote his do nothing conservative slant away from environmental responsibility, concluding:

Last month, Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, shrugged off manmade climate change as "a drop in the bucket." Showing that solar activity has entered an inactive phase, Prof. Sorokhtin advised people to "stock up on fur coats."

The last time the sun was this inactive, Earth suffered the Little Ice Age that lasted about five centuries and ended in 1850. Crops failed through killer frosts and drought. Famine, plague and war were widespread. Harbours froze, so did rivers, and trade ceased.

O'Brien rewrites Gunter's column poorly, layering in some political barf about "Brother Al Gore & His Oscar-Winning Nobel-Laureate Traveling Climate Show and Relevancy Revival", but O'Brien covers the same misinformational territory as Gunter, at times near verbatim, concluding...

There is, after all, another theory out there, most recently propounded by a Russian scientist named Oleg Sorokhtin. He says -- and I want you to slow down here and really let this sink in -- it's the sun that's actually responsible for temperatures on the Earth. Pretty revolutionary, eh?

And he goes on to say that although the sun has been pretty intense in recent decades, heating things up in this part of the planetary neighborhood, it has just throttled back quite a bit. You can guess what he says is coming. It does not involve palm trees swaying in the Yukon.

Read through each of these entire columns and post your thoughts on this. To me, O'Brien copied the Gunter article without attribution, and made a real mess of it in the process.

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Tuvalu will be underwater in 15 years... That is very real to me

I found an interesting group of observations about Global Warming on Matavuvalle - a very cool active social network in Fiji...

The Pacific Ocean rises... more tsunamis... and much of Fiji is gone.

Going... Going...

We may watch them drown... perhaps even see people drown on webcam... on Matavuvalle... or we may get serious about climate change at the global level...

 

Global climate change is either a very serious thing or ...  it's not so serious, maybe an illusion, or even a delusion.

 

What you RECKON Matavuvale frenz??

Bilions of dollars spent by governments worldwide, research institutes employ thousands of scientists to find sources of the problem and how to solve it, manufactured products are beiing labelled "greenhouse friendly" cars and household items are being powered by solar power.

Presidents, Prime Minister and governments look to this issue for preferance come election time. And more serious issues of climate change happening with natural disasters claiming headlines all over the world.

Tuvalu will be underwater in 15 years.....That is very real to me.

 
global warming is very much real.....one just needs to look @ our regional countries like Tuvalu and Kiribati for the reality of global warming to hit home.......hell not only regional countries........try looking closer @ home.......at our own islands......i remember a yl bek wen i used to go to my koro ni vasu for holidays i had 2 take like 20 steps to reach the sandy beaches....now i can jst sit and do my fishing from on top of my bed.......th@s how close sea level has risen ..... even along nasese seawall.......wea a few years bek thea were steps to use to walk down and stand on the sand....now the sand has risen up to the level of the sea wall.......the steps are no more......

helen thanks for bringing up this topic.....i was just gonna post something of the same but glad u beat me to it ;o)

global warming is real........its in every little thing u use.......cans/plastics/diapers/electricity/cigarette/diesel/ and so many many more out there that contribute to global warming......its a danger to the ozone layers because it takes hundreds, thousands and yes even a million years for all these things to decay......

a lot of people take garbage for granted, they just throw it away without a thot. however, a lot f the trash that is thrown away takes years and years to rot away. and they are contributing factors to global warming. below is a short list of how long different types of trash take to fully decay:

aluminium can - 200 - 500 years
apple core - 2 months
cigarette butts - 40years
cotton rage - 1 - 5monthsd
diapers - 200years
glass bottle - 1 million years
tin can - 50 - 100 years
fishing line - 600 years
sand shoes - 75years
plastic bottle - 50 - 80 years
and many many more.......now the question is: WHAT ARE YOU DOING TO HELP COMBAT GLOBAL WARMING?

i can go on and on and on on these....but then u wont get to read all that i have to write down....so i'll let u do yo own research on global warming.......but if u wana know how to combat global warming............very simple......IT STARTS @ HOME.............

dua mai keri ;o)

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